Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 113.543571 130.052657 149.015102 172.609419 201.465038 235.982280 2.809729e+02
2025-05-04 89.527983 109.865366 135.566577 171.164498 220.416552 288.121275 3.919721e+02
2025-05-11 76.990114 98.933936 128.535206 172.798791 239.988549 343.171014 5.251293e+02
2025-05-18 67.178632 89.238560 120.452096 169.909222 250.652127 386.482414 6.571264e+02
2025-05-25 60.889943 83.214967 116.139010 171.065671 266.942791 442.939222 8.398435e+02
2025-06-01 55.663762 77.889396 111.827451 171.011127 280.619350 498.623886 1.053215e+03
2025-06-08 50.919132 72.641429 106.779344 168.578195 289.040542 546.463681 1.280291e+03
2025-06-15 48.726203 71.049521 107.303342 175.848188 317.874678 649.565148 1.747732e+03
2025-06-22 44.370617 65.517041 100.519574 168.415186 314.367667 674.590420 1.990784e+03
2025-06-29 41.612660 62.330599 97.380084 167.417939 324.665678 739.712080 2.460008e+03
2025-07-06 39.292897 59.652033 94.811644 167.098463 336.434172 814.625751 3.082420e+03
2025-07-13 38.414731 59.332861 96.432870 175.612950 371.972119 981.137810 4.517988e+03
2025-07-20 37.846546 59.667571 99.627721 188.907470 426.811198 1262.738878 7.815715e+03
2025-07-27 35.539759 56.710127 96.220232 186.961786 439.743465 1402.490422 1.079192e+04
2025-08-03 33.872355 54.759623 94.554718 188.777101 464.747512 1620.064672 1.662979e+04
2025-08-10 31.891779 52.053549 91.055836 185.524958 472.984535 1769.872624 2.352749e+04
2025-08-17 30.518301 50.375222 89.485234 186.825424 497.121259 2036.002393 3.942720e+04
2025-08-24 29.153958 48.601367 87.518909 186.764064 516.847655 2308.035611 6.831060e+04
2025-08-31 27.696462 46.536435 84.720961 184.028327 526.043061 2530.088296 1.152793e+05
2025-09-07 27.181202 46.279450 85.829469 192.207752 581.637679 3209.158886 4.202258e+05
2025-09-14 25.522715 43.624904 81.350865 183.845085 566.067159 3262.524635 6.675768e+05
2025-09-21 24.489809 42.168336 79.457707 182.724216 581.862185 3659.109416 2.467664e+06
2025-09-28 23.583344 40.909086 77.901637 182.365191 601.387021 4156.859079 3.007820e+07